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Tariffs on Canadian lumber could boost U.S. production

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Listen to this insight
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With tariffs on U.S. imports of Canadian goods looming, we analyze the potential impacts on lumber markets and possible benefits for regions with untapped production capacity.


Canadian imports as a share of total U.S. consumption are at their lowest level in more than two decades.


Canadian imports currently make up about 23% of U.S. softwood lumber consumption.

chart 1

As prices for Canadian lumber rise with new tariffs, we would expect to see an increase in domestic production with the lowest-cost sources coming online first.


The South’s share of U.S. softwood lumber capacity reached a multi-decade high in 2024 and is well-positioned to increase production.

chart 2
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